How do you read horse racing pace?

How do you predict a horse race?

Now you should have an idea of the race shape, or where each horse is likely to be during the race. Putting that information together with the preferred pace scenario of each horse should put you in a good position to postulate how the race will unfold.

How are horse racing speed ratings calculated?

Pace ratings for the 1/4 mile, 1/2 mile, and stretch are calculated for each past performance line. Using the track to track adjustments and the track variant, a final time speed rating is calculated assuming that the horse would run the entire race at the same velocity as the horse’s average velocity in the fractional part of the race.

What is an E2 pace rating in horse racing?

E2 Pace Ratings measure how fast a horse ran from the start to the 2nd call, which is 4-furlongs in sprints and 6-furlongs in routes. LP Ratings (Late Pace) measure how fast a horse ran from the pre-stretch call (2nd point of call) to the finish. BRIS Pace Ratings use a fixed scale of 2-points-per-length.

How does Ai Race Predictor work?

AI Race Predictor employs advanced AI techniques to predict the outcome of flat races in the UK and Ireland. Unlike conventional tipping services, AI Race Predictor gives you the probability of winning for every single horse in a race. Which horse you may choose to bet on is up to you and may be influenced by the odds offered at the bookmaker.

Which horse should I bet on?

Which horse you may choose to bet on is up to you and may be influenced by the odds offered at the bookmaker. As an example, consider a race with the following horses and the following probabilities of winning: “Lucky star” has a 33% chance of winning but the odds offered at the bookmakers are “evens” (or 2.0 decimal odds).

Can linear regression predict a horse’s finishing time?

I decided to use linear regression to predict a horses finishing time given a number of input features. The features included horse and race data as follows: race stakes – the winnings at stake for a particular race. This could be a factor in the effort expended (by trainer, jockey etc.) to try to win a race.

Can we predict a horse’s time in seconds?

Sometimes a horse drawn in an inside lane has an advantage but this is not always true. One hot encoding was used for the categorical features e.g. race track, horse jockey and horse trainer.Using the features above we want to predict the horses time in seconds – this is our output or label value y. The training works as follows:

How do you rate a horse in horse racing?

Fractions: Clocking at quarter-mile increments in either a race or a workout. Front Runner: A horse that wants to run on or near the lead. Furlong: One eighth of a mile. Gelding: A castrated male horse. Going: The condition of the racing surface. Dirt courses are generally rated Fast, Good, Muddy, or Sloppy.

What does 2nd E2 mean in horse racing?

E2 Pace Ratings measure how fast a horse ran from the start to the 2nd call, which is 4-furlongs in sprints and 6-furlongs in routes. LP Ratings (Late Pace) measure how fast a horse ran from the pre-stretch call (2nd point of call) to the finish.

What are E1 and E2 pace ratings?

E1 Pace Ratings measure how fast a horse ran from the start to the 1st call, which is 2-furlongs in sprints and 4-furlongs in route races. E2 Pace Ratings measure how fast a horse ran from the start to the 2nd call, which is 4-furlongs in sprints and 6-furlongs in routes.

What happens if a horse falls in a race without a rider?

Note that horses that fall during races may continue running the course without the rider, and that they are considered fallers even if they pass the finishing line. What does R mean in horse racing form?

Can a horse win a race with a low or?

Sure enough, the horse lacks raw pace and fares badly. It receives a low OR of 53 by the end of the season. As a 3-year old, the trainer enters the horse in middle distance races under its low OR. ‘Amazingly’ it starts winning races off its artificially low mark. While this isn’t a frequent phenomenon, it happens more often than you might think.

How do odds work in harness racing?

Back to the Harness racing. The odds of a particular horse winning a race is a direct function of the amount of money on that horse. Which means that the odds reflect the consensus of those betting. Average Joe. John and Jane Doe.

Can artificial intelligence make betting on harness racing better?

IBM’s artificial intelligence Watson smashed two grand champions of Jeopardy back in 2011. So, on that warm summer day, this was the idea that struck me. If artificial intelligence can beat the smartest players in these games, then betting on harness racing should be a walk in the park. Betting on harness racing is not like playing at the Casino.

Should I bet on each way or at longer odds?

If however, a tipster thinks that a horse is a good bet to either win or place then they will recommend an each-way bet. Many of our users like to bet each way bets as they are more likely to get a return. Some people like to bet at longer odds and are happy to get a return if their horse comes close to winning.

How to predict a horse’s finish time for every horse?

It sounds like you could do a similar thing–if you have finish times for every horse, just try to regress on the continuous finish time variable for all horses, and then determine whether the predicted finish time is in the top three.

Can machine learning predict the outcome of a horse race?

RaceQuant enlisted our team to use machine learning to more accurately predict the outcome of horse races, to advise betting strategy.

How do linear regressions work in horse racing?

Linear regressions were done on sets of three consecutive races in order to rate the recent performance as improving, staying the same or getting worse. The final design included the post position, the number of horses, the finish time as a percent of track record, and the change in recent performance as inputs.

What do the numbers 1-9 mean in horse racing?

The numbers 1-9 indicate the position the horse finished in the race, the number 0 indicates the horse finished outside the first 9. The symbol – (dash) – separates racing seasons.

What is the difference between e1 e2 and LP?

These numbers are designated by E1, E2 and LP. E1 Pace Ratings measure how fast a horse ran from the start to the 1st call, which is 2-furlongs in sprints and 4-furlongs in route races. E2 Pace Ratings measure how fast a horse ran from the start to the 2nd call, which is 4-furlongs in sprints and 6-furlongs in routes.

What does R2 mean in horse racing?

Rl is the first race back, R2 is the second race back, and R3 is the third race back. Mud Spd: The best BRIS speed rating a horse has earned over a muddy/sloppy track. Mud Sts – This is the number of all starts that progeny of the sire have made on off tracks. (This statistic is shown on all races except for two-year-old, maiden, and turf races.)

What is E1 and E2 in horse racing?

E1 is a pace rating that measures how fast the horse ran from the start to the first call of the race. ( 2f Pace in sprints, 4f Pace in routes). E2 is a pace rating that measures how fast the horse ran from the start to the second call of the race. (4f Pace in sprints, 6f Pace in most routes).

What does EL2 mean in horse racing?

El – The average pace rating for the horse from the start to the first call of the race for today’s distance and surface category. E2 – The average pace rating for the horse from the start to the second call of the race for today’s distance and surface category.

What does a low or mean for a horse?

Sure enough, the horse lacks raw pace and fares badly. It receives a low OR of 53 by the end of the season. As a 3-year old, the trainer enters the horse in middle distance races under its low OR. ‘Amazingly’ it starts winning races off its artificially low mark. While this isn’t a frequent phenomenon, it happens more often than you might think.

How do racehorse owners win money?

Most racehorse owners intend to win money by racing their horses. Each race is designated a certain amount of money called the purse. The track steward sets the purse based on the grade level of the competition. A percentage of the purse is paid to the finishers in a race.